Introduction
The HOPE guide is designed to help people across the United States counter political violence. It aims to empower individuals and strengthen communities to make political violence backfire against those who incite, threaten, and enact it.
Community responses to political violence can both support victims and impose costs on those who incite and engage in abuse. We need to stand up to those who want to silence our voices, who try to deny us our rights, and who aim to bully their way into political influence through intimidation and violence.
About the Guide
Harnessing Our Power to End (HOPE) Political Violence is a guide for communities across the United States to organize to counter political violence.
The word “HOPE” is both a noun and a verb. As a noun, it can be defined as “the feeling that what is wanted can be had or that events will turn out for the best.” As a verb, it can be defined as “to look forward to with desire and reasonable confidence” or “to believe, desire, or trust.” These meanings all apply to this guide.
When we believe and put hope in ourselves, we can accomplish great things. Through organizing our communities, we will achieve a better democracy and country.
Part I of this guide addresses the deeply corrosive impact that PV has on individuals, communities, and democracy. The damage that it creates is so significant that in order to uphold democracy in the United States, it is essential that people around the country organize to counter it.
Part II provides five time-tested principles on how to make political violence backfire against perpetrators and their enablers. This backfire framework was developed based on analysis of cases all over the world. The five principles have frequently been adopted by communities seeking to turn the tide against violence and injustice.
Part III offers guidance on applying the five backfire principles in the current US context. Topics such as planning tactics, developing effective messaging, and finding allies are addressed.
Part IV is a reference section to improve understanding of certain federal and state laws, and other resources, that address political violence. Government plays an essential role in countering PV, and grassroots groups should know when and how to engage with government on this issue. At the same time, government has limits, which is why relying on it primarily to reverse rising PV has been inadequate thus far, and is likely to be insufficient in the future. Instead, what is needed is a combination of bottom-up (grassroots community) and top-down (government and institutional) efforts. This is why
nonviolent organizing by communities is essential.
The Appendix shares key facts and analysis about PV in the US right now. This kind of background knowledge can be valuable for organizers. Written in simple question and answer format, it addresses questions such as: Who’s making threats? (hint: a very small minority); What percentage of the public opposes them? (hint: a very large majority); Which communities are being threatened?; How much are threats rising?; How high is the risk of physical political violence in the United States?; and What actions have government and others taken to counter this threat so far?
What is Political Violence?
Political violence (PV) is one form of oppressive violence in our society. There are others, including violent crime, hate crimes, domestic violence, terrorism, and various forms of psychological violence and structural violence. PV can intersect with these categories. What defines it is that it is:
force or violence, including threats and intimidation, used with a political motivation, to achieve a political goal, to assert political power over another group, or to disseminate a political message to an outside audience. – Jennifer Dresden and Ben Raderstorf, “Threats of Political Violence Are Injurious to Democracy Too”, The UnPopulist, January 6, 2024.
All forms of violence have political implications. What distinguishes PV is the clear and direct political intent with which it is used.
The primary strategy outlined in this guide is based on the “backfire” model. The goal of this model is to make sure that when any kind of political violence takes place, perpetrators face high costs for their actions. When their actions are counterproductive for them, their actions can be said to backfire.
The costs imposed on perpetrators can take two forms. First, there are direct losses—including a loss of political support, a loss of social standing, economic losses, and in some cases being held legally accountable. Second, there is increasing support, power, and mobilization by those who oppose political violence—for example by rallying around people who are targeted by political violence, engaging in greater voter registration and turnout, pushing for new laws to be passed and enforced, and supporting many other efforts that run counter to the goals of the perpetrators.
An advantage of the backfire approach is that it provides both offensive and defensive options. Through undermining perpetrators and simultaneously strengthening groups targeted by PV, it can shift incentives so that political violence is no longer profitable forindividuals and groups. Once the threat of political violence is seen as a political, economic, social, or legal liability, it becomes much easier to deter.
The backfire model is based on research done by scholar Brian Martin and others, and much of the content in this section draws from their work. Martin and others have examined instances around the world in which a wide range of abuses (especially those involving violence) backfired, as well as instances where they did not. Over time, Martin identified five methods that perpetrators rely on to try to inhibit outrage and minimize backfire against injustice. These methods are:
- Cover-up – Hide the unjust actions, deny they ever happened, and prevent word from spreading about them.
- Devaluation – Try to lower the social standing of the target.
- Reinterpretation – Attempt to downplay the amount of damage caused by the injustice, portray the injustice as unavoidable or for a greater good, and/or deflect blame to others.
- Official channels – Set up inquiries and investigations that move slowly, limit public visibility or input, rely on technical rules, and provide only the appearance of justice.
- Intimidation and rewards – Threaten people who may speak out against injustice, and reward people for remaining silent.
Often these methods are effective at preventing or reducing backfire. However, sometimes the perpetrators’ tactics fail, and backfire occurs. When it does, it is often because people relied on five principles (which can be remembered as the “5 Rs” below) to heighten outrage and increase mobilization against injustice. These principles are:
- Reveal – Expose the injustice.
- Redeem – Validate the target.
- Reframe – Interpret the event as an injustice.
- Redirect – Mobilize support and avoid official channels.
- Resist – Resist intimidation and bribes.
Each of these principles is discussed in general below. Then in the following chapter they are applied to the specific problem of political violence in the US.
The ‘5 Rs’ of Backfire
Below is a brief overview of each principle.
1. Reveal: Countering Cover-Up
Abusers try to cover up injustice. They claim that the injustice didn’t happen, or seek to reduce distribution of news about the injustice. In order for injustice to backfire, it must be revealed.
The methods used to do this will depend on specific circumstances—for example, in some cases, revealing can happen through research and other forms of evidence gathering, working with local media of all kinds, or through detailed interviews with people who have suffered abuse (and whose consent should be secured before sharing this information more widely). Sometimes activists can create conditions that make cover-up of PV more challenging, such as carrying cameras and planning ahead for sustained documentation of public actions, which alerts possible perpetrators in advance that they will be recorded.
2. Redeem: Countering Devaluation
Devaluation is “lowering the status or opinion of a person or object” with the goal of making violence or other abuse toward them seem more acceptable. Perpetrators attempt to devalue the people they abuse through a variety of means, including by sharing (directly or through rumors) damaging information—which may be false—about a person who was abused. They may also label a person as a terrorist, criminal, political extremist, or use other dehumanizing language. In doing so, they often play to prejudices that are present in society, such as racism and sexism. Perpetrators may further try to provoke a targeted person into saying or doing things that can be used against them.
The counter-tactic to this is to humanize (redeem) those who have been abused and to reduce the social distance between them and the broader audience.
Humanizing people, providing context and details about their lives, elevating their positive values (which they may share with the broader audience) and actions, and having others (especially those in roles that the audience trusts and respects) speak up on their behalf can all help to counter devaluation. Acts of redemption should be planned alongside those who have been dehumanized.
3. Reframe: Countering Reinterpretation by Perpetrators
Alongside devaluation, abusers will attempt to reinterpret an incident to make it seem like their abuse did not do much damage (minimizing), was necessary for the greater good (framing), or was not their fault at all (blaming). Sometimes outright lying about various details is also part of their repertoire.
Countering these efforts requires reframing. Documentation about the impact of and damage from the abuse can help neutralize the perpetrators’ narratives. Communicating why the abuse violates laws, widely held values, and threatens all of our safety and security is also vital. Communicating who should be held accountable for the abuse and reframing abuse from an individual problem to a systemic problem is also important.
Weaving these aspects together into clear narratives that trusted messengers can deliver can further increase impact. It is important to remember that while an injustice may seem obvious to activists, we should never assume that it is obvious to other audiences.
Therefore, activists must put facts into context by developing narratives that show the moral outrage of an abuse and mobilize a broader constituency to get off the sidelines.
4. Redirect: Not Relying on Official Channels to Deliver Justice
When efforts to cover up, devalue, and reinterpret fail, perpetrators try to divert action into official channels such as an investigation or inquiry. Perpetrators prefer inquiries that are internal and closed-door. However, even public and independent investigations can still result in decreased public mobilization. This is because they tend to work slowly, focus on technical procedures, rely on experts, and give an appearance that justice will be done. Therefore, relying on them can drain grassroots energy. Moreover, once people are demobilized, inquiries may become less aggressive in pursuing the truth.
In the face of such institutional processes, activists have many options, but the key point to remember is that activists must not rely solely on the process to deliver justice. Instead, they must continue to redirect public outrage to mobilize public action.
The full guide includes examples and ideas for action that can keep the issue alive among members of the public, so that those who oppose injustice continue to build their strength and exert ongoing pressure.
5. Resist: Standing Firm Against Intimidation and Bribery
A final tactic used by perpetrators to try to inhibit public concern is to threaten those who speak out or organize against injustice. They may also try to bribe, reward, or otherwise co-opt people into remaining silent or demobilizing. This may extend beyond just targeted activists— perpetrators may also try to silence activists’ family, friends, and colleagues.
Yet, threats and attempts to reward silence are risky for perpetrators, because activists who resist them can also turn these actions into catalysts for more backfire. As with other backfire tactics, preparation here is key.
Anticipating intimidation and rewards, activists can warn their friends, families, and colleagues of such efforts, prepare to document these efforts, and develop strategies to expose the corruption of perpetrators. Publicly acknowledging the fact that you are prepared for threats may actually have a deterrent effect on perpetrators, making them aware ahead of time that such tactics will be used against them in “the court of public opinion,” and possibly also even a court of law.
How Can Communities Maximize Backfire?
While there is no exact formula for applying the 5 Rs and local conditions will determine the strategies and tactics that you use, in general backfire is more likely to happen when we prepare for it. This can include participating in training in 5 Rs; building relationships with others; joining trusted networks that include people from all walks of life; and maintaining a commitment to nonviolence in the face of violent provocations.
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Table of Contents
Introduction 5
PART I: The Corrosive Impact of Violence on Democracy 7
How Political Violence Works 9
Why We Must Act 13
PART II: Making Political Violence Backfire: Five Principles 16
1. Reveal: Countering Cover-Up 19
2. Redeem: Countering Devaluation 19
3. Reframe: Countering Reinterpretation By Perpetrators 20
4. Redirect: Not Relying On Official Channels To Deliver Justice 21
5. Resist: Standing Firm Against Intimidation And Bribery 22
PART III: Applying Backfire Tactics in the US 24
PART IV: Laws that Address Political Violence and the Right to Protest, and Additional Resources for Organizing 55
APPENDIX: What We Know about Threats and Political Violence in the US 64
1. How is “political violence” defined? 64
2. How many people support political violence in the US, and how many oppose it? 66
3. What is the likelihood of acts of physical political violence in the US? 69
4. Which groups are most likely to incite, threaten, or enact physical political violence? 72
5. Which groups are most likely to receive threats? 80
6. How much are threats and acts of physical political violence increasing? 83
7. Why is political violence increasing? 86
8. What are some documented impacts of political violence in the US? 90
9. What is being done to counter political violence thus far? 99
10. What role can communities play in countering political violence? 106
Bibliography 109
Acknowledgments 123
Disclaimer
This guide is meant to help individuals and groups uphold democracy and counter political violence. Any action taken upon the information provided in this guide is strictly at your own risk, none of the authors, contributors, or anyone else connected with this guide, can be responsible for your use of the information contained in this guide. This guide contains links and references to reports of various actions. The links and references are for purposes of analysis and discussion only and are not endorsements of any action. To learn about the possible legal risks of any action, talk to a lawyer familiar with that jurisdiction. The National Lawyers Guild (https://www.nlg.org/) may be able to refer you if you need it.
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