Report cover - Title reads 'Countering misinformation about refugees and migrants: An evidence-based framework'. Photo of a group of people walking on a street in the rain. Most of the people are blurred out but one person in a red jacket is in focus.

Countering Misinformation about Refugees and Migrants

Introduction

For those who want a truthful discussion, yet may sometimes struggle to respond to false claims, this report, Countering misinformation about refugees and migrants: An evidence-based framework, is designed to help you know what to do and when.

With an easy-to-follow decision tree and how-to examples, this report can equip you to respond across a range of situations— and lays the groundwork for you to create responses aligned with your own aims.

False narratives about refugees and migrants are increasingly shaping public opinion—both in Australia and globally. Understanding how misinformation works, and knowing when and how to respond, is crucial for fostering informed, fact-based discussions. Source

While the focus is on addressing misinformation in the Australian debate about refugees and migration, the framework can be adapted for use in other countries and across a variety of issues.

This report is not a prescriptive messaging ‘playbook’. Instead, it provides key principles and a structured framework: a step-by-step approach to help you engage with misinformation effectively. It lays the groundwork for you to create responses aligned with your own aims.

With an easy-to-follow decision tree and how-to examples, this report can equip you to respond across a range of situations— so that it’s clear:

  • when you should ‘prebunk’ (a technique that helps people recognise and resist misinformation before it takes hold);
  • when you should ‘debunk’ (expose and correct false claims); and
  • when you should just ignore misinformation and tell better stories. 

The report also includes evidence-backed engagement strategies to support maximum impact when you do intervene to stop misinformation. 

6 Ways Misinformation Spreads

Online platforms create the perfect breeding ground for misinformation to spread. The rise of AI-generated misinformation – such as highly convincing deepfake images and videos – only exacerbates the problem.

Combating misinformation begins with understanding the psychological factors that drive its spread and influence. Our new report identifies six key behavioural science principles that explain how misinformation takes hold:

1. Hot states
Heightened emotions, such as fear, outrage or anxiety, make people more reactive and less critical of misleading claims.

2. The messenger effect
People judge a message’s truth based on who shares it, often trusting friends and family over experts.

3. The mere-exposure effect
Seeing misinformation multiple times makes it seem more true, making people more likely to share it.

4. Confirmation bias
People are more likely to believe false information that aligns with their values and reject facts that challenge them.

5. Cognitive load
When overwhelmed by information, people are less likely to question what they see, making them more vulnerable to falsehoods.

6. Continued influence effect
Misinformation has a lasting effect on our attitudes and decisions, even after it has been corrected.

Building on these principles and an extensive review of research literature, we developed an evidence-based framework for countering misinformation about refugees and migrants.

It provides a step-by-step guide on what to do when faced with falsehoods, starting with recognising whether the misinformation is anticipated or already circulating.

When Misinformation is…

… Anticipated

When you expect a particular false claim, but it’s not yet out there, then prebunk. Alert people to manipulation tactics before they become widespread.

This helps people recognise and resist misinformation before it takes hold.

… Already Circulating

If false claims are already out there, first ask three questions before acting:

  1. Is the claim prominent (visible and gaining traction)?
  2. Is it persuasive (able to change people’s minds)?
  3. Is it proximate (relevant to your audience and cause)?

If the answer to any of these questions is no, then reframe the agenda. Instead of amplifying falsehoods, shift your resources to sharing stories that reinforce accurate information and resonate with your audience’s values.

If misinformation is indeed prominent, persuasive and proximate, debunk it.

Use the fact, myth, fallacy, fact – or “fact sandwich” – method. Make the correction clear, credible and effective by stating the truth, then presenting the myth, explaining its flaws, and reinforcing the correct fact.

Here’s an example that leads with a fact, warns about the myth, explains the fallacy and then ends with a fact:

<div style="background-color: #f3f3f3; border-left: 4px solid #e0643b; padding: 10px 15px; margin-bottom: 15px; border-radius: 4px;">
<p style="font-size: 1.2em; margin-bottom: 8px; color: #333; 
When Australia’s borders were closed during COVID, migration was at its lowest in a century — yet house prices still went up. The idea that cutting migration will magically solve the housing crisis doesn’t hold up against the evidence.</p>

<p>But some political actors are blaming migrants, as if they’re the main reason housing has become unaffordable.</p>

<p>In fact, this oversimplifies the problem. The housing crisis has been a long time in the making, and it’s now this severe because of past policy choices piling up.</p>

<p>There are many drivers of Australia’s housing crisis, including a lack of housing, rising construction costs, and tax breaks that distort the market. Migration is only a small piece of the puzzle.</p>
</div>

When Australia’s borders were closed during COVID, migration was at its lowest in a century — yet house prices still went up. The idea that cutting migration will magically solve the housing crisis doesn’t hold up against the evidence.

But some political actors are blaming migrants, as if they’re the main reason housing has become unaffordable.

In fact, this oversimplifies the problem. The housing crisis has been a long time in the making, and it’s now this severe because of past policy choices piling up.

There are many drivers of Australia’s housing crisis, including a lack of housingrising construction costs, and tax breaks that distort the market. Migration is only a small piece of the puzzle.

How to Engage Audiences

The report also details seven strategies that drive reach and impact.

These include publicly communicating in a way that’s

Report Excerpts

Here is a sneak peek into the report.

Screenshot from report page. Title reads 'Figure 2: Decision tree for countering misinformation and
engagement strategies'. Decision tree diagram
Screenshot from report page. Title of page reads 'How-to guide: Debunking
identified misinformation
Misinformation example: Migration numbers'. Top paragraph reads '
Certain politicians and commentators have been spreading misleading narratives that allege that Australia’s migration
levels are out of control. They claim that migration has ‘skyrocketed’ or is at ‘record highs’, and cite figures that suggest
more migrants are arriving than were projected or planned for.' There is more text below.
End with the FACT
Below is an example of messaging that counters a misinformation narrative using the best-practice FMFF strategy for
debunking misinformation. Tailor this example to your specific audience and broader communications strategy.
Fallacies can be categorised using the FLICC taxonomy
Sources: ABS, Overseas Migration (2023-24); A Gamlen, Explaining the 2024 Net Overseas
Migration Surge, ANU Policy Brief (2024); A Gamlen, Five myths poisoning Australia’s
migration debate, The Mandarin (2024)
*
*
Decide: Is this myth...
Prominent: Is it gaining traction or visibility? &
Persuasive: Does it have the potential to change beliefs or behaviour? &
Proximate: Is it relevant to your audience or cause?
If NO - Re-frame the narrative
If YES - Debunk this myth'.

Access Resources

Report

Countering misinformation about refugees and migrants: An evidence-based framework (40 pgs PDF)

Article

Misinformation on refugees and migrants is rife during elections. We found 6 ways it spreads – and how to stop it, The Conversation

Templates and Decision Tree Framework

Podcast

Listen to Podcast on Soundcloud and iTunes.

Video

Speed Briefing: Countering misinformation about refugees and migrants
In this 30 minute speed briefing, coauthors Professor Daniel Ghezelbash (UNSW Kaldor Centre for International Refugee Law) and Saul Wodak (Behavioural Insights Team) step through the framework, empowering you to create stronger, fact-based conversations.

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